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Modeling and prediction of bitcoin prices based on blockchain information | ||
| International Journal of Nonlinear Analysis and Applications | ||
| مقاله 123، دوره 14، شماره 1، فروردین 2023، صفحه 1601-1610 اصل مقاله (1.62 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22075/ijnaa.2022.27971.3772 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Hossein Naghipour1؛ Ali Nabavi chashmi* 1؛ Behnam Barzegar2؛ Erfan Memarian3 | ||
| 1Department of Financial Management, Babol Branch, Islamic Azad University, Babol, Iran | ||
| 2Department of Computer Engineering, Babol Branch, Islamic Azad University, Babol, Iran | ||
| 3Department of Economic, Babol Branch, Islamic Azad University, Babol, Iran | ||
| تاریخ دریافت: 12 بهمن 1400، تاریخ بازنگری: 10 مرداد 1401، تاریخ پذیرش: 03 شهریور 1401 | ||
| چکیده | ||
| Bitcoin has recently attracted considerable attention in the fields of economics, cryptography, and computer science due to its inherent nature of combining encryption technology, monetary units and blockchain. This paper reveals the effect of neural networks (NNs) by analyzing the time series of the Bitcoin process. We also select the most relevant features from Blockchain information that is deeply involved in Bitcoin’s supply and demand and use them to train models to improve the predictive performance of the latest Bitcoin pricing process. In this paper, the purpose of Bitcoin price prediction is to use the combined method of signal decomposition into intrinsic components (EMD) and support vector regression (SVR) algorithms. The proposed method uses the intrinsic component decomposition method as a denoising step in the training data. We conduct an empirical study that compares the proposed method with other linear and non-linear benchmark models on modeling and predicting the Bitcoin process. Our empirical studies show that NN performs well in predicting Bitcoin price time series and explaining the high volatility of the recent Bitcoin price also the Mean Square Error (MSE) of the proposed method is calculated and compared with previous works. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| Blockchain؛ Bitcoin Prices؛ Financial market prediction؛ Machine learning | ||
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