پیوندهای مفید
آمار
| تعداد نشریات | 21 |
| تعداد شمارهها | 687 |
| تعداد مقالات | 9,985 |
| تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 70,957,407 |
| تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 62,422,655 |
Investigate the impact of financial market risks on the value of financial assets | ||
| International Journal of Nonlinear Analysis and Applications | ||
| مقاله 8، دوره 15، شماره 7، مهر 2024، صفحه 69-82 اصل مقاله (490.84 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22075/ijnaa.2022.29264.4104 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Leila Mohammad Sadeghi؛ Hashem Zare* ؛ Mehrzad Ebrahimi؛ Abbas Aminifard | ||
| Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Shiraz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Shiraz, Iran | ||
| تاریخ دریافت: 27 شهریور 1401، تاریخ بازنگری: 20 آذر 1401، تاریخ پذیرش: 01 دی 1401 | ||
| چکیده | ||
| The present study aims to investigate the impact of financial market risks on the value of financial assets. In this study, first, by studying the research literature, financial market risk indicators including bad economic uncertainty and good economic uncertainty were identified. Then, the most important indicators from the perspective of experts were determined by the pairwise comparison questionnaire and AHP method. In the next step, the uncertainty indices were calculated by GARCH regression and derivation of conditional standard deviation. Then, the effect of financial market risks on the value of financial assets was examined by VAR regression. The statistical population of the data is related to the financial market and macroeconomy of Iran in the period 1986-2020. The results showed that the response of consumption of financial assets to the uncertainty of the stock index in different periods is high and increasing and the reaction of consumption of financial assets to the uncertainty of economic growth is negative. The production of financial assets is not affected by stock market uncertainty and economic growth uncertainty. Stock market profits are not initially affected by stock market uncertainty, but in later periods this effect increases and stock market profits react negatively to economic growth uncertainty. The reaction of stock market income to stock market uncertainty and economic growth uncertainty is very small. The reaction of stock market investment to stock market uncertainty and economic growth uncertainty is very strong and negative. Also, the stock market risk rate does not have much effect on stock market uncertainty and economic growth uncertainty. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| Financial market risks؛ value of financial assets؛ good economic uncertainty؛ bad economic uncertainty | ||
| مراجع | ||
|
[1] A. Ang and J. Chen, Asymmetric correlations of equity portfolios, J. Financ. Econ. 63 (2002), no. 3, 443–494. [2] N. Antonakakis, I. Chatziantoniou, and G. Filis, Dynamic co-movements of stock market returns, implied volatility and policy uncertainty, Econ. Lett. 120 (2013), no. 1, 87–92. [3] S. Baker, N. Bloom, and J. Davis Steven, Measuring economic policy uncertainty, Quart. J. Econ. 4 (2016), no. 131, 1593–1636. [4] T. Bali and H. Zhou, Risk, uncertainty, and expected returns, J. Financ. Quantit. Anal. 10 (2016), no. 51, 707–735. [5] T.G. Bali, K.O. Demirtas and H. Levy, Is there an intertemporal relation between downside risk and expected returns?, J. Financ. Quant. Anal. 44 (2019), no. 4, 883–909. [6] J. Barunik and M. Nevrla, Quantile spectral beta: A tale of tail risks, investment horizons, and asset prices, Working Paper, Charles University, Czech Republic, 2019. [7] M. Bijsterbosch and P. Guerin, Characterizing very high uncertainty episodes, Econ. Lett. 121 (2013), no. 2, 239-243. [8] C.C. Binder, Measuring uncertainty based on rounding: New method and application to inflation expectations, J. Monetary Econ. 90 (2017), 1–12. [9] N. Bloom, The impact of uncertainty shocks, J. Economet. 77 (2009), no. 3, 623–685. [10] T. Bollerslev and V. Todorov, Tails, fears, and risk premia, J. Finance 66 (2011), no. 6, 2165–2211. [11] T. Bollerslev, S.Z. Li, and V. Todorov, Roughing up beta: Continuous vs. discontinuous betas, and the cross-section of expected stock returns, J. Financ. Econ. 120 (2016), no. 3, 464–490. [12] T. Bollerslev, S.Z. Li, and B. Zhao, Good volatility, bad volatility and the cross-section of stock returns, J. Financ. Quant. Anal. 55 (2020), no. 3, 751–781. [13] O. Bondarenko and C. Bernard, Option-implied dependence and correlation risk premium, Working Paper. University of Illinois, Chicago, 2020. [14] D. Bredin and S. Fountas, Macroeconomic uncertainty and macroeconomic performance: Are they related?, Manchester School 73 (2005), no. 1, 58–76. [15] G. Caggiano, E. Castelnuovo, and N. Groshenny, Uncertainty shocks and unemployment dynamics: An analysis of post-WWII US recessions, Tech. Rep., Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche “Marco Fanno”, 2013. [16] O. Ceylan, Time-varying risk aversion and its macroeconomic and financial determinants: A comparative analysis in the U.S. and French financial markets, Finance Res. Lett. 41 (2021). [17] F. Chabi-Yo, M. Huggenberger, and F. Weigert, Multivariate crash risk. Working Paper, University of Massachusetts, Amhurst, 2019. [18] F. Chabi-Yo, S. Ruenzi and F. Weigert, Crash sensitivity and the cross section of expected stock returns, J. Financ. Quant. Anal. 53 (2018), no. 3, 1059–1100. [19] M. Cremers, M. Halling and D. Weinbaum, Aggregate jump and volatility risk in the cross-section of stock returns, J. Finance 70, no. 2, 577-614. [20] D. Cronin, R. Kelly, and B. Kennedy, Money growth, uncertainty and macroeconomic activity: A multivariate GARCH analysis, Empirica 38 (2011), no. 2, 155–167. [21] D. Das and S. B. Kumar, International economic policy uncertainty and stock prices revisited: Multiple and partial wavelet approach, Econ. Lett. 164 (2018), 100–108. [22] M. Dzielinski, Measuring economic uncertainty and Its impact on the stock market, Finance Res. Lett. 9 (2012), no. 3, 167–175. [23] R. Elkamhi and D. Stefanova, Dynamic hedging and extreme asset co–movements, Rev. Financ. Stud. 28 (2018), no. 3, 743–790. [24] R.F. Engle and A. Mistry, Priced risk and asymmetric volatility in the cross-section of skewness, J. Econ. 182 (2014), 135–144. [25] C. B. Erb, C.R. Harvey and T.E. Viskanta, Political risk, economic risk, and financial risk, Financ. Anal. J. 52 (1996), no. 6, 29–46. [26] M. Fallah Shams and A. Bani Sharif, Contagion of Financial Risks in Banks Listed in Tehran Stock Exchange Using MGARCH Approach, Financ. Res. 23 (1400), no. 61, 87-107. [27] A. Farago and R. Tedongap, Downside risks and the cross-section of asset returns, J. Financ. Econ. 129 (2018), no. 1, 69–86. [28] J. Gao, S. Zhu, N. O’Sullivan, and M. Sherman, The role of economic uncertainty in UK stock returns, J. Risk Financ. Manag. 12 (2019), no. 1, 5. [29] E. Guglielminetti, The Effects of Uncertainty Shocks on the Labor Market: A Search Approach, 2013. Http://Econ.Sciences-Po.Fr/Sites/Default/Files/Elisa.Pdf. [30] M. Helseth, S. Krakstad and P. Molnar, Can policy and financial risk predict stock markets?, J. Econ. Behav. Organ. 176 (2020), 701–719. [31] Y. Hong, J. Tu, and G. Zhou, Asymmetries in stock returns: Statistical tests and economic evaluation, Rev. Financ. Stud. 20 (2006), no. 5, 1547–1581. [32] K. Jurado, S.C. Ludvigson, and S. Ng, Measuring uncertainty, Amer. Econ. Rev. 105 (2005), no. 3, 1177–1216. [33] B. Kelly and H. Jiang, Tail risk and asset prices, Rev. Financ. Stud. 27 (2014), no. 10, 2841–2871. [34] W.L. Kumo, Macroeconomic uncertainty and aggregate private investment in South Africa, South Afr. J. Econ. 74 (2006), no. 2. [35] S. Leduc and Z. Liu, Uncertainty shocks are aggregate demand shocks, J. Monetary Econ. 82 (2016), 20–35. [36] X. M. Li, New evidence on economic policy uncertainty and equity premium, Pacific-Basin Finance J. 46 (2017), 41–56. [37] F. Longin and B. Solnik, Extreme correlation of international equity markets, J. Finance 56, no. 2, 649–676. [38] Z. Lu and S. Murray, Bear beta, J. Financ. Econ. 131 (2013), no. 3, 736–760. [39] C. Luo, L. Liu and D. Wang, Multiscale financial risk contagion between international stock markets: Evidence from EMD-Copula-CoVaR analysis, North Amer. J. Econ. Finance 58 (2021): 101512. [40] P. Orlowski, P. Schneider, and F. Trojani, On the nature of jump risk premia, Working Paper, University of Lugano, 2019. [41] L. Pastor and P. Veronesi, Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices, J. Finance 67 (2012), no. 67, 1219–1264. [42] A.J. Patton, On the out-of-sample importance of skewness and asymmetric dependence for asset allocation, J. Financ. Econ. 2 (2004), no. 1, 130–168. [43] S. K. Sadeghi, F. Bagherzadeh Azar and S. Mousavi, Investigation of factors affecting stock market risk with emphasis on financial globalization in the form of dynamic behavior of stock market, Asset Manag. Financ. 4 (2016), no. 1, 87–100. [44] G. Segal, I. Shaliastovich and A. Yaron, Good and bad uncertainty: Macroeconomic and financial market implications, J. Financ. Econ. 117 (2015), 369–397. [45] K. Sekscinska, J. Rudzinska-Wojciechowska, and D. Jaworska, Self-control and financial risk taking, J. Econ. Psycho. 85 (2021), 102386. [46] L. Serven, Macroeconomic Uncertainty And Private Investment In Developing Countries: An Empirical Investigation, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 2035 (1998), 1–34. [47] Y. Wang, B. Zhang, X. Diao, and C. Wu, Commodity price changes and the predictability of economic policy uncertainty, Econ, Lett, 127 (2015), 39–42. | ||
|
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 13,393 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 17,683 |
||