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بررسی عوامل موثر بر تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی و هنری مطالعه موردی:کشورهای منتخب عضو اوپک (کاربرد رگرسیون فازی) | ||
| مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی | ||
| مقاله 6، دوره 9، شماره 2 - شماره پیاپی 34، تیر 1403، صفحه 161-193 اصل مقاله (1.02 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22075/jem.2024.32956.1904 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| سعیده میربلوچ زهی1؛ غلامرضا زمانیان* 2؛ زهرا حسین آبادی3؛ رضا اشرفگنجویی4 | ||
| 1دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد فرهنگ و هنر، دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان، زاهدان، ایران. | ||
| 2دانشیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان، زاهدان، ایران. | ||
| 3دانشیار دانشکدە هنر و معماری ، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان ، زاهدان، ایران | ||
| 4استادیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشکدهی اقتصاد و مدیریت، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان، زاهدان، ایران | ||
| تاریخ دریافت: 21 دی 1402، تاریخ بازنگری: 05 خرداد 1403، تاریخ پذیرش: 05 خرداد 1403 | ||
| چکیده | ||
| سیاست گذاریهای مناسب در گسترش تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی و هنری یکی از مؤلفههای مهم در سرعت بخشیدن به توسعه اقتصادی است و میتواند منبع تأمین درآمدهای ارزی برای اقتصاد کشور باشد. با توجه به اهمیت این امر در مطالعه حاضر به بررسی عوامل مؤثر بر تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی و هنری از جمله اینترنت در کشورهای منتخب عضو اوپک طی سالهای 2013-2019 پرداخته است. از این رو به کمک مدل رگرسیون فازی دیدگاه متفاوتی ارائه میشود. با توجه به قابلیتهای مدل رگرسیون فازی شدت تأثیرگذاری برای هر یک از عوامل مؤثر بر تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی و هنری تحت عنوان مراکز، پهنای راست و چپ فازی به تفکیک کشورها محاسبه شده است. نتایج پهنای راست فازی برای کشور ایران حاکی از آن است که میزان تأثیرگذاری اینترنت، تولید ناخالص داخلی، نرخ ارز و تعرفه بر تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی و هنری کشور ایران به ترتیب برابر با ضرایب 13e – 067/3 ، 951/0 ، 783/0 و 13e – 4315/2 است. نکته قابل توجه آن است. که نقش اینترنت در تجارت کشور ایران در مقایسه با سایر کشورها ناچیز است. از این رو توصیه میشود که سیاست گذاری های مناسب در جهت گسترش اینترنت به منظور افزایش تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی فراهم شود. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| مدل رگرسیون فازی؛ پهنای راست فازی؛ اینترنت | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Investigating factors affecting the trade of cultural and artistic goods, a case study: selected OPEC countries (using fuzzy regression) | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Saeedeh Mirbaluchzehi1؛ Gholamreza Zamanian2؛ Zahra Hossein Abad3؛ Reza Ashraf Ganjoei4 | ||
| 1Student of Economics of Culture and Art, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sistan and Baluchistan, Zahedan, Iran | ||
| 2Associate Professor, Economics of Department, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran | ||
| 3Associate Professor of art and architecture faculty, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran | ||
| 4Assistant Professor, Economics Department, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Proper policies in the expansion of cultural and artistic commodities are one of the important components in accelerating economic development and can be a source of foreign exchange earnings for the country's economy. Given the importance of this study, the present study explores the factors affecting the trade of cultural and artistic goods, including the Internet in OPEC members during 2013-2019. Therefore, with the help of the fuzzy regression model, a different perspective is presented. Due to the capabilities of the fuzzy regression model, the intensity of the influence for each of the factors affecting the trade of cultural and artistic goods as centers, the right and left fuzzy width of the fuselage is calculated by countries. The results of fuzzy right width for Iran indicate that the impact of the Internet, GDP, the exchange rate and tariff on the trade and artistic goods of Iran, respectively 3.067e-13, 0.951, 0.783 and 2.4315e-13 It is attention. The role of the Internet in Iranian trade is insignificant compared to other countries. Therefore, it is recommended that appropriate policies be provided to expand the Internet to increase the trade of cultural goods. | ||
| کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
| Fuzzy regression model, fuzzy right width, internet | ||
| مراجع | ||
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