پیوندهای مفید
آمار
| تعداد نشریات | 21 |
| تعداد شمارهها | 697 |
| تعداد مقالات | 10,088 |
| تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 71,226,959 |
| تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 62,957,286 |
Deterministic and Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis of Kunduz Airport (Afghanistan) | ||
| Journal of Rehabilitation in Civil Engineering | ||
| دوره 14، شماره 2 - شماره پیاپی 42، مرداد 2026 اصل مقاله (1.45 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Regular Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22075/jrce.2025.2354 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Mohammad Jawad Rahimi1؛ Abdulhai Kaiwaan2؛ Shamsullah Anwari3؛ Sayed Javid Azimi2؛ Zaher Rezaie* 4 | ||
| 1Ph.D. Student, Department of Structural Engineering, Afghan International Islamic University, Kabul, Afghanistan | ||
| 2Ph.D., Department of Structural Engineering, Afghan International Islamic University, Kabul, Afghanistan | ||
| 3Head of the Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Badakhshan University, Kabul, Afghanistan | ||
| 4Lecturer, Department of Civil Engineering, Kateb University, Kabul, Afghanistan | ||
| تاریخ دریافت: 03 خرداد 1404، تاریخ بازنگری: 11 مرداد 1404، تاریخ پذیرش: 26 مرداد 1404 | ||
| چکیده | ||
| This study presents the first site-specific seismic hazard assessment of Kunduz Airport, a critical infrastructure located in the seismically active Alpine–Himalayan belt of northeastern Afghanistan. Both deterministic seismic hazard analysis (DSHA) and probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) are employed to estimate peak ground acceleration (PGA), incorporating historical and instrumental seismicity data, regional tectonic frameworks, and local soil conditions (Vs30 = 250–300 m/s). The analysis utilizes regionally calibrated ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) from the NGA-West2 suite within a logic-tree framework to account for epistemic uncertainties. The PSHA results yield a median PGA of 0.411g for a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years (return period ~2475 years), while the DSHA indicates a maximum PGA of 0.41g, primarily governed by the Chaman fault. The Central Badakhshan and Takhar faults are also identified as major seismic sources contributing to site hazard. A comparative evaluation of international seismic design codes (Iranian Standard 2800, ASCE 7-16, Eurocode 8) reveals notable discrepancies in spectral acceleration and base shear values, emphasizing the necessity of local code calibration for performance-based design (PBD) of essential facilities in Afghanistan. Unlike previous regional studies such as Bakhshi et al. (2025), this research incorporates updated GMPE logic trees, nonlinear soil classification, and direct code-spectrum comparisons, offering a robust and localized hazard framework. The results contribute to seismic code development and risk mitigation planning for vital transportation infrastructure in Afghanistan. | ||
تازه های تحقیق | ||
| ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| Seismic hazard analysis؛ Kunduz Airport؛ Deterministic approach؛ Probabilistic approach؛ Peak ground acceleration؛ Seismic risk mitigation | ||
| مراجع | ||
|
[1] Boyd OS, Mueller CS, Rukstales KS. Preliminary earthquake hazard map of Afghanistan. US Geol Surv Open-File Rep 2007:1137.
[2] Ruleman CA, Crone AJ, Machette MN, Haller KM, Rukstales KS. Probable and Possible Quaternary Faults of Afghanistan. US Geol Surv Open-File Rep 2007;1103.
[3] Bakhshi H, Rahimi MJ, Rastin MN, Rezaie Z. Seismic Hazard Evaluation and Accelerated Curves for Kunduz City (Afghanistan). Comput Eng Phys Model 2025;8:1–24. https://doi.org/10.22115/cepm.2024.490533.1349.
[4] Yucemen MS. Probabilistic assessment of earthquake insurance rates for Turkey. Nat Hazards 2005;35:291–313. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-004-6485-8.
[5] Bai W, Dai J, Liu R, Shao Z, Yang Y, Jiang T, et al. Site investigation on seismic performance of 7 isolated buildings during the 2022 Luding Ms 6.8 earthquake. J Build Eng 2024;89:109224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jseaes.2023.105925.
[6] Shnizai Z, Walker R, Tsutsumi H. The Chaman and Paghman active faults, west of Kabul, Afghanistan: Active tectonics, geomorphology, and evidence for rupture in the destructive 1505 earthquake. J Asian Earth Sci 2024;259. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jseaes.2023.105925.
[7] Varzandeh SSH, Mahsuli M, Kashani H, Dolatshahi KM, Hamidia M. Seismic performance of buildings during the magnitude 7.3 Kermanshah, Iran earthquake. J Build Eng 2024;91:109522. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2024.109522.
[8] Ahmadi AS, Kajita Y. Evaluation of urban land development direction in Kabul city, Afghanistan. Conf. ID, 2023, p. 79.
[9] Breus A, Favorskaya A, Golubev V, Kozhemyachenko A, Petrov I. Investigation of seismic stability of high-rising buildings using grid-characteristic method. Procedia Comput Sci 2019;154:305–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2019.06.044.
[10] Keshavarz A, Mansoori Moghaddam B. Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and determination of uniform hazard spectrum of Bushehr province assuming linear source model. J Struct Constr Eng 2018;5:127–42. https://doi.org/10.22065/jsce.2017.86053.1181.
[11] Sunardi B, Rohadi S, Indriyani AD, Karnawati D. Re-Evaluation of Seismic Hazard in Tasikmalaya City Using Probabilistic Approach. GEOMATE J 2019;17:187–94. https://doi.org/10.21660/2019.63.60620.
[12] Alizadeh B, Pourzeynali S. Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis Using the New Correlation Relationships for Magnitude Scales. Civ Eng J 2018;4:872–85. https://doi.org/10.21660/2019.63.60620.
[13] Ghodrati Amiri G, Razavian Amrei SA, Tahmasbi Broujeni MA. Seismic Hazard Analysis and Uniform Hazard Spectra for Different Regions of Kerman. J Struct Constr Eng 2015;2:43–51.
[14] Bakhshipour Sedaposhte A, Fahimi Farzam M. An Overview of the Concepts Earthquake and Applications of Seismic Risk Analysis and the Introduction of Methodology PSHA and DSHA. Road 2018;26:87–104.
[15] Zare M, Hashemi SA, Rahmani R. Seismic Hazard Analysis and Developping the Acceleration Zoning Maps in the Khark Island, Persian Gulf Iran. J Nat Environ Hazards 2015;4:1–12. https://doi.org/10.22111/jneh.2015.2471.
[16] Dastjerdi, H. D., Bakhshi, H., & Sadeghi M. Deterministic and Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis of Petroleum Product Storage Facilities in Bushehr City. Earthq Eng J 2018;10(2):17–34.
[17] NEA/CSNI/R(2019)1. Comparison of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis of Nuclear Power Plants in Areas with Different Levels of Seismic Activity. 2019.
[18] Peñarubia HC, Johnson KL, Styron RH, Bacolcol TC, Sevilla WIG, Perez JS, et al. Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis model for the Philippines. Earthq Spectra 2020;36:44–68. https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293019900.
[19] ShamsAldane I NM. Earthquake Risk Analysis by determining and probabilistic Method and determining the acceleration and magnitude of the main faults caused by earthquake. Proc 18th Iran Geophusical Conf 2018.
[20] Bakhshi H, Rezaie Z. Preparation of same acceleration maps for use in the improvement of structures in Sabzevar city. J Rehabil Civ Eng 2021;9:101–19. https://doi.org/10.22075/jrce.2021.19219.1363.
[21] Ezzodin A, Ghodrati Amiri G, Raissi Dehkordi M. A random vibration-based simulation model for nonlinear seismic assessment of steel structures subjected to fling-step ground motion records. J Vib Eng Technol 2022;10:2641–55. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42417-022-00509-9.
[22] Sharafi SQ, Maulana TI, Saito T. Development and Validation of a Seismic Index for Assessing the Vulnerability of Low-Rise RC Buildings. Civ Eng J 2025;11. https://doi.org/10.28991/CEJ-2025-011-03-016.
[23] Nowroozi AA. Empirical relations between magnitudes and fault parameters for earthquakes in Iran. Bull Seismol Soc Am 1985;75:1327–38. https://doi.org/10.1785/BSSA0750051327.
[24] Ambraseys NN, Melville CP. A history of Persian earthquakes. Cambridge university press; 2005.
[25] Wells DL, Coppersmith KJ. New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement. Bull Seismol Soc Am 1994;84:974–1002. https://doi.org/10.1785/BSSA0840040974.
[26] Gutenberg B, Richter CF. Frequency of earthquakes in California. Bull Seismol Soc Am 1944;34:185–8. https://doi.org/10.1785/BSSA0340040185.
[27] Bozorgnia Y, Abrahamson NA, Atik L Al, Ancheta TD, Atkinson GM, Baker JW, et al. NGA-West2 research project. Earthq Spectra 2014;30:973–87.
[28] McGuire RK. Seismic hazard and risk analysis. Seismol Soc Am 2004. https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.77.1.43.
[29] Bender B, Perkins DM. SEISRISK III: a computer program for seismic hazard estimation. US Government Printing Office; 1987.
[30] No S. 2800 (2015) of Iranian Code of Practice for Seismic Resistance Design of Buildings 2015.
[31] Minimum design loads and associated criteria for buildings and other structures. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784414248.
[32] Code P. Eurocode 8: Design of structures for earthquake resistance-part 1: general rules, seismic actions and rules for buildings. Brussels Eur Comm Stand 2005;10.
[33] Survey USGS and CG. Quaternary fault and fold database for the United States 2018.
[34] ISC Bulletin. Int Seismol Cent n.d.
[35] Advanced National Seismic System (ANSS) Composite Earthquake Catalog. US Geol Surv n.d.
[36] Boore DM, Joyner WB. Site amplifications for generic rock sites. Bull Seismol Soc Am 1997;87:327–41. https://doi.org/10.1785/BSSA0870020327.
[37] Bakhshi H, Rakhshani Mehr M, Norouzi M. Seismic risk analysis and mapping acceleration Nishapur city. J Model Eng 2017;15:211–23. https://doi.org/10.22075/jme.2017.2562.
[38] Milad D MM. Seismic Hazard Analysis Of Busher City under the Movement of two High-Risk Faults in the region by tow methods: Deterministic and Probablistic. Natl Conf Fundam Reserach Civ Eng Archit Urban Dev 2018.
[39] Zhao, J., Campbell, K. W., & Chiou BS-J. NGA-West2 ground-motion prediction equations for the horizontal component of peak ground acceleration and spectral acceleration. Earthq Spectra 2016:369–387.
[40] Iman A MN-B. Providing relationships for the production of artificial acceleration mapping in the Iranian plateau with a random approach. J Earthq Sci Eng 2015.
[41] Briassoulis H. Analysis of land use change: theoretical and modeling approaches 2020.
[42] Kuehn NM, Abrahamson NA. Spatial correlations of ground motion for non‐ergodic seismic hazard analysis. Earthq Eng Struct Dyn 2020;49:4–23. | ||
|
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 158 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 165 |
||